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PRECIOUS-Gold pares losses after bear market test, Greece focus PDF Print E-mail
Written by Jonathan Leff   
Thursday, 17 May 2012 10:12
* Gold lifts from 2012 lows as euro edges back into the black
* COMEX futures touch lowest since July at $1,526.70
* Prices under pressure as Greek woes hurt risk appetite
* Silver sets longest string of losses since 2008 (Updates prices)
By Jonathan Leff
NEW YORK, May 16 (Reuters) - Gold sank to a 2012 low on Wednesday before paring losses in choppy trade, as traders were torn between hope that France and Germany would work together to keep the Euro zone intact and new signs of stress in the Greek banking sector.
Bullion briefly crossed into bear market territory, down 20 percent from its record last September, as intensifying fears a Greek exit from the euro zone would worsen the debt crisis gripped financial markets earlier in the day.
Prices later recouped most of their losses following a meeting between new French President Francois Hollande and German Chancellor Angela Merkel at which they pledged to forge a joint approach for an EU summit next month. That
eased concerns of a spat that could worsen the euro zone crisis.
During the U.S. session, gold prices traded on either side of parity amid a handful of mixed signals: data showing home building and factory activity gained momentum last month; news that the European Central Bank stopped funding operations for some Greek banks because they had not been recapitalized; and Federal Reserve minutes showing that several policymakers last month were open to doing more to aid the recovery.
By day's end, U.S. stocks were marginally lower, the dollar was marginally higher and gold little changed as traders braced for the next twist in European financial drama.
"Negative market sentiment seems well entrenched and we may see further downside in the price," BNP Paribas analyst Anne-Laure Tremblay said. "In particular, we could see further cross-asset liquidation if the probability of a Greek default increases in the next weeks."
Spot gold slipped $4 or 0.3 percent to $1,539.86 an ounce by 3.35 p.m. EST (2035 GMT), as Euro woes resurfaced. It hit a session low of $1,527 -- the lowest since December. Gold's stretch of losses are the longest since December.
U.S. gold futures for June delivery slid more sharply, falling 1.2 percent or $18.5 an ounce at $1,538.86 and hitting the lowest price for a most-active contract since July.
Silver prices continued to slide more quickly than gold, dropping 2 percent, or 55 cents to $27.14 an ounce for an eighth straight decline. That is its longest losing streak since a 10-day decline that began in late August 2008, just before the global financial crisis hit Wall Street.
Throughout the day traders were riveted to Greece, where citizens were pulling euros out of banks for fear their country may leave the euro zone. Anxiety grew after news the ECB had stopped lending to some Greek banks, despite Merkel's efforts to quell fears by committing to keep Greece in the union.
News overnight that big hedge fund investors, including John Paulson, had not shed more gold holdings in the first quarter failed to dispel the sense that gold was susceptible to further losses, tethered to other industrial commodities and financial markets that are once again in thrall to Europe.
"It's difficult to see a turnaround just yet. There will be one, but I don't think this is the time, just when we are in the eye of the storm," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said.
"Clearly, with people staring into the abyss, it could (fall) $50 or even $100 lower as it washes out. That is the unpredictability of it all and as equities fall, as the Greeks take money out of the banks and the banking sector collapses, I suppose you'd have to be wary of further price falls just to cover for losses in other markets," he said.
BIG BULLS HOLD
In a small positive for gold, billionaire fund manager John Paulson held on to his stake in the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, the SPDR Gold Trust, in the first quarter of 2012, a regulatory filing showed on Tuesday.
The prospect of improvement in physical demand for gold from the Indian jeweler sector took a knock on Wednesday with the drop in the rupee to a record low against the dollar, driven by the widespread risk aversion.
Buying in India, the world's largest bullion consumer, has emerged with the decline in the dollar-denominated gold price to 4-1/2 month lows this week, but local dealers have said the weakness in the rupee could curb this.
"Definitely physical buying has gone up, although demand is not overwhelming," said a dealer in Singapore.
"India did buy gold last night. They are not really in the market yet today, but I am sure they will be buying."
The wedding season is underway in India and will taper off by the end of the month. Gold jeweler is an essential part of the dowry Indian parents give to their daughters at weddings.
Silver fell 2.1 percent to $27.10 an ounce, taking eight-day losses to more than 13 percent, while gold has fallen about 8 percent over the same period.
This has left the gold/silver ratio - the number of ounces of silver needed to buy one ounce of gold - at 56.7, nearly the highest since 2010. The higher the ratio, the greater the outperformance of gold relative to silver.
Platinum ended almost unchanged at $1,427 an ounce, on the verge of wiping out all of its gains for the year to date. Palladium slid 0.7 percent to $589.22, having fallen to its lowest since late November. (Additional reporting by Jan Harvey and Jonathan Leff in New York; editing by Bob Burgdorfer)
Last Updated on Thursday, 17 May 2012 04:15
 
FORTUCAST Financial Timer - Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Barry Rosen at Fortucast   
Wednesday, 16 May 2012 12:09

CHICAGO JUNE MINI GOLD (electronic)

(5/15): Gold futures continued to slide for a third straight day, to settle at a near five-month low Tuesday, RTT News reported. The dollar continued to strengthen while the euro slipped further on political developments in Greece. The troubled nation is now surely headed for new elections in June, after failing to reach an agreement on a new coalition government.

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Last Updated on Wednesday, 16 May 2012 06:10
 
FORTUCAST Financial Timer - Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Barry Rosen at Fortucast   
Tuesday, 15 May 2012 13:09

CHICAGO JUNE MINI GOLD (electronic)

(5/14): Gold futures settled sharply lower at a near five-month low Monday, amid deep concerns over the political uncertainties prevailing in Greece, while investors found safe haven in the dollar as the greenback continued to ride high against most major currencies, RTT News reported.

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Last Updated on Tuesday, 15 May 2012 07:10
 
FORTUCAST Financial Timer - Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Barry Rosen at Fortucast   
Monday, 14 May 2012 09:11

CHICAGO JUNE MINI GOLD (electronic)

(5/11): Gold futures settled lower Friday on a strong dollar, although the precious metal pared some of the early losses on some upbeat data that showed U.S. consumer sentiment at a four-year high, RTT News reported. The U.S. dollar continued its winning streak, now recording gains against major currencies for a tenth straight day. Gold prices shed about 3.7 percent for the week.

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Last Updated on Monday, 14 May 2012 03:12
 
FORTUCAST Financial Timer - Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Barry Rosen at Fortucast   
Friday, 11 May 2012 10:19

CHICAGO JUNE MINI GOLD (electronic)

(5/10): Gold futures settled higher Thursday, as the dollar weakened against most major currencies on some mixed economic data from the U.S., including a flat initial jobless claims for the week ago, RTT News reported. The euro made gains after interventions in Spain and Greece somewhat eased financial concerns in the region.

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Last Updated on Friday, 11 May 2012 04:20
 
FORTUCAST Financial Timer - Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Barry Rosen at Fortucast   
Thursday, 10 May 2012 10:24

CHICAGO JUNE MINI GOLD (electronic)

(5/9): Gold dropped to a four-month low as deepening political turmoil in Greece boosted the appeal of the dollar as a safe haven and curbed demand for precious metals as alternative assets, Bloomberg News reported. Silver fell to the lowest since January. The euro weakened for an eighth session against the dollar as Greek politicians struggled to form a new government, raising concern that the nation may leave the currency bloc. Commodities plunged to the lowest level this year yesterday as global equities slid to a three-month low.

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Last Updated on Thursday, 10 May 2012 04:25
 
Goldman Stands By Gold-Rally Forecast Even as Price Drops PDF Print E-mail
Written by Phoebe Sedgman at Bloomberg.com   
Thursday, 10 May 2012 09:26

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) (GS) stood by its forecast for a rally in gold this year, saying that the precious metal will advance to $1,840 an ounce over six months as the U.S. central bank embarks on a third round of stimulus in June.

Gold remains the “currency of last resort,” according to analysts led by Jeffrey Currie in a report dated yesterday, the same day that the price sank to the lowest level in four months as Europe’s escalating debt crisis boosted the dollar. The restated gold forecast implies a 16 percent surge.

Last Updated on Thursday, 10 May 2012 03:28
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FORTUCAST Financial Timer - Gold PDF Print E-mail
Written by Barry Rosen at Fortucast   
Wednesday, 09 May 2012 11:37

CHICAGO JUNE MINI GOLD (electronic)

(5/8): Gold futures ended at a four-month low Tuesday, as the dollar strengthened while investors continued to fret over the eurozone sovereign debt crisis in view of the shift in political alignment in France and Greece, RTT News reported. Europe continued to be in focus with investors largely ignoring a sharp jump in Chinese gold import from Hong Kong in March.

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Last Updated on Wednesday, 09 May 2012 05:39
 
Harmony Gold May Boost Output by 150,000 Ounces Next Year PDF Print E-mail
Written by Carli Cooke at Bloomberg.com   
Wednesday, 09 May 2012 10:38

Harmony Gold Mining Co. (HAR), the third- largest African miner of the metal, may boost output by 150,000 ounces in the fiscal year ending June 2013 as the company starts new projects, Chief Executive Officer Graham Briggs said.

“There’s no doubt it will be better,” Briggs said today in an interview in Johannesburg. So-called shaft pillar output will begin at the Bambanani mine in South Africa, while Doornkop and Phakisa production will expand and the Hidden Valley mine in Papua New Guinea “should be in a much better space.”

Last Updated on Wednesday, 09 May 2012 04:40
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